In the shopping trolley war, the supermarkets have to give
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

In the shopping trolley war, the supermarkets have to give

In all the questions and comments following the announcement of my review of the Food and Grocery Code of Conduct between the major supermarkets and their suppliers, one was barely mentioned: If the review succeeds in getting a better deal for suppliers, won’t that necessarily force up prices for shoppers? The answer is no.

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How Albanese can rebuild from here
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

How Albanese can rebuild from here

Political pundits are predicting a poor year for the Albanese government, but circumstances, serendipity and strategy suggest a different story. Who will be right?

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Who killed neoliberalism?
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

Who killed neoliberalism?

Neoliberalist theory and practice went so horribly wrong because governments that put their faith in markets forgot one word – competition.

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Simplifying APEC trade is even better than cutting tariffs
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

Simplifying APEC trade is even better than cutting tariffs

As Prime Minister Anthony Albanese prepares to travel to San Francisco for the annual APEC leaders’ meeting, Australia can take a leading role in shaping the agenda for APEC 2024. An APEC agreement to digitise and streamline customs and quarantine clearance procedures can be the modern-day equivalent of the successful tariff reductions of the last three decades.

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Free trade and the MAGA mob
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

Free trade and the MAGA mob

In a troubled world, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is using two overseas visits to strengthen Australia’s ties with rival superpowers, the US and China. While geostrategic differences will remain, a philosophy is available to bring all nations together – the philosophy of free trade.

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Time for the RBA to drop the dead doctrine of NAIRU
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

Time for the RBA to drop the dead doctrine of NAIRU

Tuesday’s minutes of the Reserve Bank board’s October meeting provide a candid account of the deliberations led by its new governor, Michele Bullock, that resulted in a further pause in the cash rate. But they also highlight the risk that the board will lose its nerve and needlessly hike interest rates even further.

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Albanese to focus on energy policy after the Voice vote
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

Albanese to focus on energy policy after the Voice vote

Soon the Australian people will have decided the referendum on the Voice. Media coverage thereafter will be dominated by what the result means for the nation. But most Australians will want the government to switch to dealing with the cost of living, the housing divide, and the energy transition.

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Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

Economic Note: Competition in the Aviation Sector

The Productivity Commission estimates that productivity growth has been responsible for almost all the increase in Australia’s GDP per person since Federation. Yet after the worst decade of productivity performance in 60 years to 2020, productivity growth has declined even further in the past three years. It is little surprise, then, that the need for improved productivity growth in coming decades was signalled as a central tenet of Treasury’s recent Intergenerational Report.

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The dubious statistic steering the Reserve Bank
Craig Emerson Craig Emerson

The dubious statistic steering the Reserve Bank

It is now unarguable that the Reserve Bank’s dubious economic models are driving its monetary policy decisions. Chillingly, if its models are wrong, so have been and will be its decisions on interest rates.

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