Government promises of lower electricity prices cannot be kept through popular, ad hocinterventions that will elevate levels of sovereign risk, killing off the new investments in electricity generation the country desperately needs to offer globally competitive electricity prices
Read moreEconomic nationalism will end badly
It’s a tragedy that Trump and Johnson, both promising to make their nations great again at the expense of others, have not. Or worse, that they know the lessons, but their vanity drives them to ignore history at the world’s peril.
Read moreTrump is slowly stifling the WTO
China is challenging the global, rules-based strategic system, which it considers is stacked against it, while America is challenging the global, rules-based trading system, which it considers is stacked against it. We are witnessing history in the making.
Read moreFive ways to follow Bob Hawke
Bob Hawke’s memorial service last week reminds us not only of what was achieved by Hawke, Keating and their cabinets in fashioning Australia’s open, competitive economy, but what could be achieved for the future by building upon their model. Speeches delivered by prime minister Scott Morrison and opposition leader Anthony Albanese signalled a level of bipartisan support for the Hawke-Keating model, but self-evidently the reforms of three decades ago cannot simply be repeated.
Read moreScoMo's first job: dealing with a downturn
By now, Treasury officials will be making their way to meet the Treasurer, carrying their blue book – the incoming government brief. It will contain Treasury’s economic and fiscal forecasts. They will confirm a slowing economy and a deteriorating budget bottom line, making it challenging for the government to keep all its election promises.
Read moreMy fondest memory working for Bob Hawke
Bob Hawke told me he had lived a full life, full of love, and had achieved everything he could. He was ready to go, but we will miss him terribly. The Glee Club will never be the same.
Read moreThe man who backed a better Australia
“ I soon learned his secret. Bob worked hard and played hard, while always separating the two. Well, almost always, an exception being those midweek horse races in which he had bet on what he called ‘a conveyance.’ “
Read moreWhy comprehensive tax reform is dead
Those demanding that their tax shelters remain open have their usual allies in the Liberal and National parties. But this time they are joined by the once-serious mainstream media, which demands economic reform in the national interest while opposing measures designed to achieve it.
Read moreCoalition’s ineffective fig leaf would increase energy prices and emissions
Australia’s major business organisations complain about the damaging effects of a decade of climate wars. A re-elected Coalition government would continue to wage those wars as the rest of the world moved on to curb its emissions. As Malcolm Turnbull warned on the weekend, the absence of a predictable policy framework, including a mechanism such as the National Energy Guarantee, would result in both higher emissions and higher energy prices.
Read moreHow does Australia end wage stagnation?
With the most recent national accounts revealing Australians on average are just $2.50 per week better off than seven years ago, we need to identify what can be done to lift wages on a sustainable basis without risking jobs.
Read moreWhy workers are going backwards
While the government boasts daily about its record on job creation, its message doesn’t resonate with the working Australians who were already in jobs when it took office in 2013. For every unemployed person back then 17 were in work. It seems the government expects the already employed to be grateful they still have a job.
Read moreThis fight is over standards of living
Amid the myriad political scandals of the recent parliamentary sitting fortnight, a report by the IMF on prospects for the Australian economy was released to a distracted Canberra press gallery. Among the IMF’s many economic projections was one measuring the material living standards of Australians. It received no coverage whatsoever. Yet in that official projection lays Australia’s economic challenge and the Morrison government’s immediate political challenge.
Read moreTrumpism has arrived in Australia
President Trump has arrived in Australia. Well, not physically but certainly in spirit. Throughout his term, Trump has traduced America’s institutions: the public service, the security agencies, the courts and, until the mid-term elections, the Congress – all put in place to curb the excesses of executive government. While Trumpism isn’t yet entrenched in Canberra, it has gained a foothold.
Read moreIt won't be business as usual under Labor
When you change the government you change the country. So said Paul Keating. He was right back then, and he’ll be right again if the Australian people soon elect a Shorten Labor government. For the many company executives asking what that change will mean, Labor will support entrepreneurship and the creation of jobs and wealth while expecting companies to pay their fair share of tax, compete in an open economy and play their part in rebuilding trust in the nation’s institutions.
Read moreBusiness needs to get real on climate
The looming election will determine the course our nation takes on an issue of vital importance not only for humankind, but for Australian businesses as well. If business organisations such as the Business Council of Australia (BCA) persist with their support for the Morrison government’s carbon-emissions target of a 26 per cent reduction on 2005 levels by 2030, they will position their members as being opposed to meaningful action on climate change.
Read moreThe price of political madness
Political madness has its price. This year the price will be paid. China’s re-emergence is putting the United States under enormous internal political pressure. The US is crumbling under that pressure, failing the first real test of its global dominance in the post-war era. Europe, too, is struggling to sustain its war-driven commitment to peaceful economic integration, as Britain’s political geniuses execute the idea of leaving Europe to relive the empire’s glory days. Here in Australia, conservatives who yearn for a bygone white, Christian-dominated colonial era have terrorised Liberal Party moderates, carrying out their threat to destroy the Coalition village in order to save it.
Read moreThis is a de facto budget designed to fight an early election
If you’re wondering what might be in next year’s budget, you need look no further than yesterday’s mid-year fiscal and economic update. It is designed to give the Morrison government the option of cancelling parliament and going to an election earlier than the May 2019 date built into the parliamentary sitting calendar released three weeks ago. But is this de facto budget, like the economy, built on a house of cards?
Read morePM Scott Morrison's big stick for energy companies is very big indeed
In the final parliamentary sitting days of 2018 the government has pledged to prioritise Prime Minister Morrison’s “big stick” bill to give the Treasurer the power to split up electricity retailers if they don’t offer electricity to small customers on terms satisfactory to them and to the government.
Read moreJerusalem embassy: how a great FTA deal became an albatross
Since before the Wentworth by-election the Morrison government has been insisting it can put Australia’s embassy in Israel wherever it wants. But just as obviously, other countries can react to any decision to relocate the embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem in any way they want. It’s this second ‘obviously’ that seems to have escaped the architects of this reckless announcement.
Read moreAustralia in the firing line as America goes to the polls
Australians usually take little notice of the US midterm elections, especially since they coincide with the Melbourne Cup celebrations. But this time, while racegoers and enthusiasts recover from the race that stops Australia, nothing will stop President Donald Trump if his party retains control of both houses of Congress. America’s most protectionist President of the post-war era will confidently pursue economic and trade policies that can only inflict further long-term damage on the global economy, including ours.
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